La précision de la prévision de la demande d'électricité par Hydro-Québec: une approche comparative
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15173/esr.v8i2.388Abstract
La prévision de la demande d'électricité par Hydro-Québec constitue le sujet de nombreux débats publics. Qu'en est-il au juste de sa performance dans ce domaine? Dans cet article, nous passons en revue ses prévisions de 1980 à 1995 et nous compamns sa performance à celle d'Ontario Hydro, de BC Hydro, de New England Power Pool et de New York Power Pool. Il ressort que les prévisions d'Hydro-Québec ont été fortement influencées par l'évolution récente de la demande qui est elle-même dépendante de l'évolution économique et que les changements de la situation économique générale constitue la principale source d'erreur de prévision. Les grands services d'électricité disposent de ressources comparables dans la confection de leur prévision et en viennent à partager une vision commune de l'évolution de leur marché. La performance d'Hydro-Québec s'apparente donc à celle des autres grands services d'électricité au cours de la période étudiée.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Rights for Authors
As further described in our submission agreement (the Submission Agreement), in consideration for publication of the article, the authors assign to Energy Studies Review all copyright in the article, subject to the expansive personal--use exceptions described below.
Attribution and Usage Policies
Reproduction, posting, transmission or other distribution or use of the article or any material therein, in any medium as permitted by a personal-use exemption or by written agreement of Energy Studies Review, requires credit to Energy Studies Review as copyright holder (e.g., Energy Studies Review © 2014).
Personal-use Exceptions
The following uses are always permitted to the author(s) and do not require further permission from DigitalCommons@McMaster provided the author does not alter the format or content of the articles, including the copyright notification:
- Storage and back-up of the article on the author's computer(s) and digital media (e.g., diskettes, back-up servers, Zip disks, etc.), provided that the article stored on these computers and media is not readily accessible by persons other than the author(s);
- Posting of the article on the author(s) personal website, provided that the website is non-commercial;
- Posting of the article on the internet as part of a non-commercial open access institutional repository or other non-commercial open access publication site affiliated with the author(s)'s place of employment (e.g., a Phrenology professor at the University of Southern North Dakota can have her article appear in the University of Southern North Dakota's Department of Phrenology online publication series); and
- Posting of the article on a non-commercial course website for a course being taught by the author at the university or college employing the author.
People seeking an exception, or who have questions about use, should contact the editors.
